Member Info for MrHumble

I think a better way to look at it, is to base it on market cap, and what expectations need to be met at current market cap.

This is easy as there are lots of databases out there for it, and can be directly related to market treatment when producing revenues.

circa £44M market cap is, in market expectation terms, is pricing in a future:

Gross Revenues 30M / Say gross margin 75% = 22.5M / Costs circa 17 million. A fair estimate on current revenues and costs.

Net operating profit circa 5 million / so net margin circa 16 or 17%. P/E should fall somewhere into F/V on that score. Industry standard P/E ? look it up for these little caps, Current isnt close so its fair

Singer have put nearly double those numbers in at 29p. Seems reasonable based on best of expectations imo

Above true....

Hard to...

I think it was a great note price, considering it is `100s of % about true valuations. There is a lot of success speculation in 29p

In fact, the only chance of 29p, is to strike before actuals come out lol

Which numbers were wrong? Had to get actuals wrong. Speculative numbers all wrong?

GLA

If it was not a paid report, i suspect a decimal point would have found its way in

Anyway, over to you bulls. It's not a good laugh here without those inputs

Singer were exuberantly kind. 29p based on what most notes should look at, was generous. Extremely so.

Just saw that the report is not for public consumption. But the 29p is, right?

Hilarious

Just a thought: Using the cash raise price as an anchor to make retail feel they're getting a discount or par institutional pricing while actually buying from institutions who are exiting. The fake buy signals are the cherry on top to encourage participation. This is sophisticated predatory trading disguised as opportunity really. But all in my (Mr) Humble opinion

Right. I am actually bored with this one now

Bulls, come back. I just want to read for a change

Reckon big buy reserve orders getting filled here. God only knows when they would print of course. 1. The range could be as much as 12-8p. 2. No print required until full fill - so simply make them big enough not to alert market too often

All in all, expect to see big buy side or unknowns, representing buy side in the coming week or 2

Validation:

THis is always a problem for many. If i had an inquiry? Validate all I say via a few exchange data rolls. What others say?

Well, lets just say they would struggle on that score

I really must go now. It's a long flight to NY. 0.01 seconds

Tbh i am seeing a very different book really. But given none of you can validate that, best just take it with a pinch of salt

Time to go visit America

GLA

For days now, all prints positive? Not one sell? All printing as on the ask, yet can go nowhere?

Red flag?

Surely we can all at least agree with hindsight at least, the previous range was pure orchestrated distribution into a raise announcement? (as well as all the selling down to it}

So really it boils down to your reads on the current now?

DId you misread the previous range? Try not to this time

Mr Humble

Possibly even 500 articles at each, and a litany of abuse lol

Right - i better go to some real markets now.

See y'all where it matters. On the other side.

Tbf, liquidity analysis can often be very difficult. Hence some see acc. Some see dist.

I dont think ive ever witnessed a gerbil seeing dist. really.

Anyone spot any differences between the previous range into dilution, and this range?

Anything key?

It's a study in itself really. Re pre/post dilution consolidations. I reckon you can see 95% of weak market participant minds, in both.

PS 8 days. obviously that was written around 10 days ago

even worse

Bye

Sorry about that. Just remembered i left.

Bye

Tbf, whoever wrote that must be delusional. It just does not happen according to efficient market theory lol

Might as well look at psychology while we wait

The current 15.9-17p range represents a classic post-cash raise institutional distribution zone following a textbook pump-and-dump pattern where the stock spiked to 27p before crashing back to a then announced 17p cash raise announcement. Institutions who accumulated during the pre-27p run-up are now systematically unloading their positions through algorithmic distribution, as evidenced by the 100% volume concentration (all institutional activity focused here), 4% completion rate (strong selling pressure defending 17p), 8 days duration (time needed for orderly distribution), and 3.6M volume (massive institutional unloading). The algorithms defend the 17p ceiling because higher prices would mean thinner liquidity - after the crash, there's minimal natural buying above 17p, so letting it rise would make distribution harder and risk triggering momentum buying that could recreate the spike. Instead, they concentrate all available buying pressure into this range where retail thinks they're getting shares "at a discount" post-crash, systematically exhausting every buyer who wanted to "buy the dip" at these levels. The slight net selling pressure (-0.22) combined with neutral flow patterns confirms this is controlled distribution rather than accumulation, with the 15.9p floor maintained just long enough to maximize the total volume they can sell before the inevitable break lower once all natural buying is exhausted - essentially turning post-dilution retail optimism into their exit liquidity.

I have decided to now leave voluntarily. I has a few angry messages elsewhere. Things like:

'Let them retake the board. Great entertainment watching amateur ramps and reading articles the company dont pay for'

etc

I suppose they have a point.

I shall now leave it to the bulls - and go focus on the expected time, O Hara will instruct SBTX not to interfere with his ramp lol

Goodbye my friends. If it was no pleasure for you, take comfort in the fact, I thought it was a pleasure.

Adieu