read em and weep boys21 Sep 2010 07:37
CLEA brokers note from Equity Development published last night..
current market cap is 5 mill (1.5-1.8p) you can buy at 1.62p...
"The new year has started well so I am marginally increasing my forecast for 2010-11 to £1.9m pre-tax, leading to eps of 0.44p: even after the shares have been marked up to 1.65p in response to the news, this puts the shares on a PFER of 3.7x, an extreme undervaluation."
"I have marginally increased my forecast for 2010/11 since the faster growth in IVAs is more significant than the switch from modest growth to modest decline in Abacus‟ new business to £1.9m pre-tax, leading after a normal 28% tax charge to eps of 0.44p (we don‟t expect the group to actually pay that much tax as it has accumulated losses to shelter much of its profits).
At the current price of 1.65p, the shares are on a PFER of 3.72x
The group has now clearly established itself as a profitable growing business and is the only quoted competitor to the larger and longer-established Fairpoint, the market leader in personal insolvency solutions. We think that Fairpoint is undervalued as some investors take a jaundiced view after it briefly fell into loss under the previous management, so its PFER of c.6x is an unflattering basis for comparison. However, even against this yardstick ClearDebt looks undervalued on a PFER of less than 4x and we think the share should be at least 2.5p; in the medium to long-term, it should more than double."