RE: Not a buy until 25p29 Jul 2025 04:57
The high revenue calls were around the time of the CEO change out. The last guy exasperated and over hyped, Alex Pease seems the reverse which is better. I think the 1.1 billion was likely the realistic expectation all along. The areas of low cost housing and student rentals are growth areas as we all know. However the current projects and provisions on hand become clearer next year. I think 2025 will be a flatline and 2026 a steady rise. I do think that if the SP stays this low vultures will circle as Refresh on the cladding and old building upgrades is growing very fast, Fresh their student let refurbs is also growing steadily, it’s all about their big investments getting various planning permissions and completing the ones that are work in progress on time on budget. The position es for me are cash remains high on the balance sheet, their areas of business are largely recession proof (foreign students especially Chinese now they don’t like USA). Also Reeves is a disaster, won’t be long before interest need to be cut to stabilize growth or create some as we are stalling badly but inflation still high holding it back right now.