RE: KPMG26 May 2020 15:24
First to make this clear Steve and Zaza are clearly aligned to shareholders as captains and significant owners of the good ship frontera. We are passengers and part owners.
A successful frontera rewards both the captains, the shareholders and the crew. So we are aligned through mutual interest.
Does that mean the captains have always made the best decisions and may have taken considerable risks on this journey that as shareholders we were not aware of before embarkation?
Yes in my opinion they have. That is more a question of competency than trust. But without knowing all the constraints the decisions were made under its hard to determine whether that was the right decision or not at the time. The point I would make is how we have ended up where we are while not unimportant to not nearly as important as what course of action is planned from here.
If the boat is holed below the waterline there may be no option to save the ship.
However, the captains may have planned a rescue mission with 1% of the cargo to salvage something fro. The situation.
The problem is that even having salvaged 1% the company still has loans it used to buy the ship that is not sunk and the 1% needs to cover those costs.
So we are aligned but that does not mean mistakes potentially very costly one have been made.
As for KPMG there job will be to audit the accounts and looking for items that cast uncertainty on them and in particular the balance sheet. The arbitration is of interest mainly due to the potential liabilities it could generate. That will be there focus. I doubt they are interested in the PSA per se. It would appear from some of the statements that the cost of the arbitration was shared in full or part and the Georgian side stumped up some funds when FRR declined to do so. That would make FRR now a debtor (an asset) to GOGC until any liability was settled. What makes this complicated is that you have both GOGC and the SAOG involved as entities. You need to see the very slight differences between the two parties. GOGC proving material breach is what potentially enables SAOG to terminate the PSA.
Alot depends me on whether the ruling explicitly covered the matter of the full PSA and termination or not. I tend to reconcile the two through Zaza possibly looking at the arbitration but SAOG going beyond the arbitration and back to their rights on material breach once GOGC had fought the arbitration case on sub clauses of the PSA.
Both parties can't be right. But given FRR believed they could circumvent the relinquishment clause you have to be nervous that they have miscalculated on the termination clause.
I still of the view the SAOG had the discretion unless explicitly ruled on in the arbitration to terminate. Exercising that was a calculated political move in my opinion. There may well be more to this and so something else to be revealed. If so its going to be interesting if there is. If not the company will lose the license and be left with bills and no m