RE: Today8 Aug 2025 11:54
In order to assess future covenants and future liquidity needs of the Group the Board has conducted a thorough evaluation of the going concern assumption and has modelled a number of scenarios.
Given the trailing nature of a LTM covenant, most of the September 2025 LTM EBITDA is known and it is probable that the covenant will not be achieved or achieved with minimal headroom, which could lead to an event of default when reported in mid-October 2025 unless waived or amended. In all scenarios other than in those where a strong market recovery occurs, the leverage and interest cover covenants will be breached from December 2025 onwards.
Future liquidity needs will be dependent on trading and on the success, timing and use of proceeds from deleveraging actions that will require negotiation with lenders. Notwithstanding, the liquidity impact from deleveraging actions, the Group is at risk of requiring greater liquidity than that afforded by the RCF cap. In all but the downside scenarios, the additional liquidity requirement would be within the £11 million headroom between the liquidity cap and maximum borrowings under the RCF but would require lender consent to access.
Doesnt look good