RE: News/updates/results27 Oct 2021 19:13
Hi MP, this is the latest TP Research Note:
https://www.alienmetals.uk/wp-content/uploads/AlienMetals_19_10_2021_FINAL_BG.pdf
"In this respect, it is worth recalling that on 25 February 2021 TPI published an updated assessment of Alien. This individually assessed each of the Group’s continuing projects, from which it derived a sum-of-parts upside valuation of £82.9 million.
Hamersley dominated these, contributing some £61.2 million of the total. Subsequently, of course, Alien announced negotiations were underway in order to take its holding in the Brockman and Han**** Ranges projects from 51% to 90% through a cash and shares transaction; now being finalised, this transaction clearly presents opportunity to boost this figure beyond that indicated in the original assessment."
Using TP calculation for Hamersley with a 90% interest and the correct upside tonnage now equals:
245,000,000 x 0.5 Fe = 122,500,000
x£8/t = £980,000,000
x0.2 (to discount 80%) = £196,000,000
x0.902 (UFO share) = £176,792,000
= 5p/share
Using an aggressive 60% discount factor (instead of 80% as they said they would do) = 10p/share
Mining ourselves would mean many multiples higher than 10p since discount factor was included in £8/t.
Then have to add all the other projects!
By any means you look at it, we are massively undervalued!