A reality check26 Sep 2022 11:27
I don't in any way detract from my comments on the ineptness of management and the Board on so many fronts...
A new CEO who so far has shown himself to be way out of his depth...so why would Nick appoint him...?
But...
Gold is at a 30 month low; copper is close to a 2 year low...the pound is virtually at parity with the dollar...the global economy is in a dreadful mess...and people are cash poor and risk averse...
Meanwhile Junior miners are at rock bottom yet we keep being told we are on the cusp of a Junior M&A feeding frenzy...
But why should predators rush to buy with prices continuing to tank...
When this mining mayhem turns...convincingly...watch the feeding frenzy start...
Yes SOLG is rock bottom....if you leave out the COVID blip, iuts at a near 5 year low. And thats despite the assets still in the gorund, including propspects which have not been explored properly or at all...
As you know, I hold ATYM, which has fallen from 448p to 205p in seven months...thats 55%, despite the fact that the prime reasons are copper prices and energy costs, but they are on a prospective yield of 14.3% when this current crisis unfolds.
Meanwhile, SOLG is down 38% over the same period...yes the price peaked at over 40p in April, but that was specifically based on the PFS update...
GGP is down 63% in a year and 41% in two months...
All of these prospective miners have specific factors that affect the SP from time to time but nobody can bucj the market.
There has been no real buying, NOR selling for weeks, because there is no news in a weak market and people have become preoccupied with the need for funds...
In the next several weeks we have PFS 2 and the Porvenir PEA and we still haven't heard about prospective J/Vs on the lesser prospects, which get talked up all the time...
I believe that even if the market stays flat, news will bounce this SP in the next few weeks and at the very least a modest fund raise can be done to take us through to calmer waters where further funds may be easier.
In the meantime I repeat, we are on the cusp of a Junior miner feeding frenzy, especially in critical minerals, with prospective interest well beyond mining giants, to include smelting companies like Boliden and Jingxi, streaming royalty companies like FNV, WPM, Trafigura; GLEN, etc. and even manufacturers lokking to secure lithium, nickel and REMs...
Finally, for almost 2 years there have been published bid rumours and the risk to the Board is that these become fulfilled before they can do any of the above and certainly before or immediately after the AGM...
BHP is NOT the only game in town...just look at the list of major miners alreayd knee deep in Ecuador, including the owners of Warintza...
This post is not a ramp. It is designed to reassure people like me who are hurting badly (down £80k even at our 'traded' average cost.
But I still believe that this share will make a third fortune for us...and soon....