RE: Sorry …..but another Calidus update!14 Sep 2021 13:18
I hear you - I think the difference is, we as Keras holders are extremely jaded by first hand engagement with the ins and outs of the Togo issue, and the AIM holds absolutely zero interest or sentiment in whatever it is we're doing. Keras is currently undervalued against the NPV of the Diamond Creek project and Togo remains complete upside.
Investors in Australia, the ASX and Calidus *may* be more enthusiastic about a producing Phosphate project for a price under NPV, with potential upside on a Manganese initiative without the jaded burden of history. The financial profile of CAI as a multi mineral (near) producer would give them an arguably better profile from which to progress Togo - less dependency on it, more liquid cash (without dilution) to seek and fund arbitration, were it necessary.
If Keras was in production at either Phase 1 or Phase 2, I certainly don't think we'd receive a second look, as we'd *likely* be closer to a reasonable Market Cap that would be a less appealing transaction.
CAI could offer a share for shares offer, for minimal dilution on their side (less still in 6-8 months) - and provide a Phosphate producer, and a ready to go (ahem...) Manganese opportunity for well below NPV.
Do I *think* it will happen? No. Can I build a case for it to happen? Absolutely.
There's a bigger and bigger part of me that would *like* to see it happen, as I am losing faith in the current 'vehicle' that is Keras plc to deliver the goods, on the AIM.