Member Info for MarketViking

BTW the thing about "preparing for turbulence" is no kidding. You only have to look at the historical charts to see the kind of sudden and extreme volatility that this stock has undergone! It wouldn't surprise me if it spiked up to 20p on next major positive news, and then fell back to around 10p. But, unlike in the past, I doubt whether there'll be any more long declines. There will come a time, sooner rather than later, when the trend is inexorably upwards. By the end of next year, assuming all goes to plan, it could actually be in the 30p-35p range, IMHO.

Some highlights from the article:
"...analysts are so optimistic about Velocys that they pencil in revenues — £8.3 million last year — hitting £46 million by 2026. Shore Capital claims Velocys is trading at more than a 50 per cent discount to peers in new and renewable energy..."

"...We believe [it] is at an inflection point,” said Shore’s Akhil Patel, who forecasts “significant cash inflows as a number of large, commercially scaled projects begin”. He expects Velocys to have more cash coming in than going out by 2024, with positive underlying earnings by 2027..."

The Times writer's recommendation:
"...Buy ... but be patient and prepare for turbulence..."

I reckon it'll move sideways in a range (maybe with slight upwards trend) until something happens to light the fuse. Of course, if a stock has been on a long slide but starts going sideways, then THAT alone is arguably a pretty bullish sign...

As I've said before, it beats me that there are so many folks who - so to speak - wait for lift-off and then try to grab onto the rocket with their fingertips before it leaves the launch-pad! The smart guys, in my humble opinion, will have loaded up the truck with as much VLS as they fancy at under 5.5p (at most 6p) and be strapped in and ready to fly! :-P

The powder is dry....the barrels are stacked high and ready to blow....all we need is a spark like a major positive announcement, publication and passage of UK legislation to match the IR Act in Uncle Sam. Then - BOOM!

@Rainman
Convb = Expatbrat???
I don't know about that. Convb (whether you agree with him or not) always struck me as a seasoned investor and something of a SAF specialist. By contrast, this Expat dude is clearly posting with an agenda to try and upset folks, perhaps in the (bizarre) belief that there are "VLS fans" here - as in folks with Velocys T-shirts, copies of company reports signed by Henrik Wareborn, etc - harhar :-D

@Wilco
I don't believe Expatbrat has monkey genes. I think he has troll genes :-)

Well what can we say? The man should be damn well charged with treason, if you ask me ;-)

In other news: there was a great VLS buying opportunity this morning fellers. I was neatly positioned coming out of another trade over at HL to pick up just over another 61,000 shares for a unit cost 5.43p!

@Wilco
Agreed. I see no cause for concern with the fundamentals. VLS is where we'd reasonably expect them to be at this point in time.
BTW I find the charts interesting. While I make no claim to expertise in this stuff, I have noticed one thing over and over again. If a long downwards trend gets reversed, and then a price bumps along sideways for a while, that is OFTEN the harbinger of strong upwards movement for the stock in question. (Just saying :-D)

@Jzchat
That there is a very good upside potential vis-a-vis risk if our cost-average is in the 5-6p range.

BTW What never ceases to amaze me about human nature is how people will keenly buy something (stock, real estate, crypto, or anything else) after the price has risen....and risen....and then risen some more.... But the time to buy is when the price is (pardon me) in the f---ing toilet! ;-)

EDIT "...commenter..."
(Damn auto-correct! let's not bring CLASS into this! :-p)

I haven't been paying much attention to him, Wilco. But it always seemed clear to me that he is a troll (or otherwise not a very serious commoner.) This is pretty obvious from the following statements, just for example:

"...VLS will be unable to raise sufficient funds to build their own large scale projects...."

"... they do not appear to be materially advancing any of their projects...."

These are not well informed comments.

@Wilco
I guess there are trolls all over the internet - and amazingly that even extends to discussion threads for investors/speculative investors :-)
(I say "even", because what these dudes are trying to do is to provoke an emotional response. Yet _investors_ are the last people on earth from whom they should expect to get that! Personally I don't give a rat's a++ if people say exaggeratedly disparaging things about a stock I am in. I go by the numbers. If I'm in, then on balance of probabilities I think it'll work. Either I'm right or I'm wrong. But emotion doesn't come into it. VLS isn't my family. I don't have 'feelings' for 'em - not beyond the numbers.)

I reckon you could rate VLS (at the time of writing, based on all information in the public domain) as "safely buy up to 6p". (That being said, I personally have only ever started buying under 5p, and stopped around 5.5p...)
The only problem I anticipate having the next 12 months is a good problem. It is when, exactly, to start locking in profits :-)
(I mean, if it got into the 30-40p range, do you cut and run? Do you sell 50%? Hm...)

"...VLS sp will rise and fall and rise and fall because it'll take an age to get into production to fulfill the contracts they already have..."
---
Well, there are a number of political and legal acceleration events in the pipeline (the next 2-8 months) The first is already here - i.e. the signing into law of the IR Act in America, and what legally follows from this. Sure the SP will rise and fall from one day to the next. Could it ever dip under 5p again? It's 100% possible, because anything is possible at this game. But barring catastrophic unforeseeable events, there will come a point - probably now sooner rather than later - where the trend will be inexorably upwards, IMHO.

All sounds very logical, MM. But still, I reckon it is only when the really big players come to the table that things will get cooking properly. (Any they most likely still need more firm positive news on Bayou and Altalto before they are going to open fire with their heavy artillery? :-p)

Japan could be interesting. (And the thing is about the Japanese, when they decide to build something, they don't **** around - it happens fast.)

@jzchat
It is (was) heavily dependent on the SAF-legislation. Uncle Sam has just passed it. I understand Blighty will do likewise between September and Christmas. And the EU will likely do so in short order also. When there is a firm go-ahead for Bayou fuels and Altalto, this stock could very well be upwards of 30p, IMHO.

Well yeah, people should have started buying at under 5p - not now! However in the medium-to-long term (especially after legislation passes in the UK and in Europe) it can only gain, IMHO.

@Convb
Aside from SAF, another US green-technology stock to check out is NVVE (Nasdaq)
It's in the can at the moment, but it has potential to recover hard and fast, IMO :-)

Woah, a pretty strong start today! :-) My cost average, after my final buy of last week, was about 5.36p. So I'm already up by over 8.5% on VLS this morning at time of writing. Let's hope the surge is sustained :-D

True Wilco, but it's not just the financial support from grants. Things like planning permission, and associated bureaucratic guff, has always been fast and buttery smooth for VLS in the UK. (Of course this is typical for an enterprise which is "liked" by the folks in power.)