RE: Webcast29 Jul 2020 00:52
I agree that RENE has beem around a very long time without achieving a launched product. This might be because they chose stroke for their lead indication. Unfortunately, this has a history of many failed attempts at tteatments. I think it was MH who joked that potential investors glaze over whenever he broached the subject. Olav also stated that there is at present little partnering interest outside of China for CTX/stroke. The ph2b was expensive and the delays as a result of covid-19 in the US would only have increased costs. It seems that the board, under pressure from some investors, have been forced to conserve cash and invest only in prospects that are likely to deliver near term value.
There seems to be much greater investor appetite for indications such as RP judging by recent M&A activity. RP is also an orphan indication which confers benefits in terms of reduced development time and costs. Stroke would probably reqiure two large, very expensive ph3 studies after the ph2b whereas RP should require only a single, moderate sized ph3.
Completing the ph2b puts jCyte slightly ahead of RENE but this does not mean they have a comparable or superior product. We need to wait for the readout from RENE's ph2a extension study to see if they further improve efficacy. If the results vindicate their approach then they will almost certainly partner with big pharma on attractive terms next year.
Will there be a need for additional funds before then? Edison seem to think so - but an additional £10m would see them through another year and allow an RP partner agreement to be reached. There will be some dillution but the valuations for ph3 ready treatments should mean that long term shareholders will still be rewarded. I certainly hope that's the case...