RE: Clinical trial10 Oct 2020 19:58
RP is a rare disease - I believe the stats are something like 1 in every 4000 people in the US. The FDA granting orphan status entitles RENE to tax breaks and a shortened regulatory path - for example, FDA may accept a single phase 3 instead of two as is normally required.
The value will come when Rene partner which is likely to happen middle of next year if things go to plan. The CMO stated that partners were enthusiastic about results so far but they want more objective measurements of efficacy. That's why they will be using microperimetry testing to precisely measure changes to the retina following treatment. This was used by professor MacLaren as a trial endpoint for Nightstar's gene therapy tteatment for x-linked RP. You can find a youtube vdeo of him talking about how he formed Nightstar and how he mamaged to convince the regulator to accept what were at the time novel endpoints to measure efficacy. It's worth remembering that Nightstar got bought out by Biogen for $800 million. He's now one of the investigators in Rene's RP ttial. His backing gives massive credibility to the whole program.
Based on the clinical trials.gov update, the original two sites are recruiting but Oxford has yet to start. This may.be becauae it"s an NHS hospital or maybe the professor is just a very busy man!
When you look at the RP progress, potential news of exosome colaborations, possible CTX partnering plus Fosun progress, there seems ample scope for an unexpected RNS in the lead up to xmas. This will sutely catch the market out and likely lead to a significant jump in the share price.
It's worth remembering that Michael Hunt has said they will need.to raise money at some point. AIM companies tend to do this on the back of good news that has inflated their share price. I'd suggest Rene is likely to do the same.