RE: Czech elections .... again...Babis to win16 Aug 2021 08:57
Greenmachine. Simple answer - experience of emh.
It was risk free imho back in 2017-2018. Geo is bang on.
Historic data and mine plan bang on.
Already had basic process lined up, bang on.
Production noted for 2021, bang on , so around 3-4 years.
MoU signed by Keith , top notch.
VW and S Korean big interest, bang on.
Tin offtake on the table , bang on.
So all this and a brilliant geo mapping of the hulk of lithium, tin and other by products by 2018.
Czech GOVERNMENT cancel MoU , not good.
CEZ ( Czech Gov ) buy in after other weird Slovak investors throw in 18p a share ??? Not good.
Courtcases, not good.
CEZ ( czech gov ) STILL not got any offtake eg VUL 2 by LG & Renault , PLL have Tesla yet not a permit or spade in the ground. Core in Oz have Tesla, Jadar had RIO TINTO. Still no offtake .... speaks volumes ( or lack of to me ).
March news tip, takeoff in mid April .... Hmmm.
DFS ....
Mine to production....god knows when ? My guess is 2026-28.
So many missed chances, communist President, Babis who has been proven to be well dodgy is Prime Minister and likely to get another term. Ok, he wins great. Ok CEZ are Czech and gov owned. How much further along are we since 2017-18. Nowhere.
I did hold about 1% of all shares back in 2017, but now am out. Geology risk - 2% to fail. Political risk 60-75% to delay and have friction increasing risk. History has shown czech do not like money leaving the country. Actions have already shown this. Good for them, not good for us.
I still have a high concern for Russian influence.
Look its not going to be Crimea style , but would anyone have perdicted that or invasion of Ukraine ? Look I am not saying anything like an invasion of czech ( lol) but the truth is Cinivec is THE biggest asset in central europe.
It is a kin to a gold coin laying in a busy street. Everybody is looking at it and walking by. Everyone wishes they could just take it but just walk on by incase someone nabs them.
My head says 100%, my experience and heart sadly say the risk is to high for me at this poker table.
In 4 years time and another election who knows the political stability of Czech ! Nobody on here can tell you that. I feel I would put the risk of owning here to the risk of buying in Argentina, Bolivia or China. At any point the Gov could tax, take permits, treat you a foriegn as the product leaves the country.
EG. Czech Gov could say all lithium must stay in Czech. We will build all processing plant here and then give it out, via contract with 25% tax for export to Germany.
Now would you want to be around for that ? Example only but look at S America and what has gone on here !
Nobody can tell me it will never happen.