RE: Same old Narrative!16 May 2022 15:14
It's always interesting reading alternative points of view. Sometimes people point out things we haven't considered before and in many ways we become more well researched if you know how to contextualise things. I've raised the same point about get rich quick vs long term hold in the past that the original poster makes. My angle was more along the lines of what sort of trader/investor you are and what risk to take on since there is a big difference between a long term hold vs a trade. I also think it would be nice if the directors did purchase more shares, its always a vote of confidence for sure but I don't consider this to be a major concern right now. I think institutions are waiting for their "list of tick boxes" to be checked before buying in. From what I know, its rare for any to put money in when a feasibility study hasn't been done even though the project is largely de-risked. Therefore the only institutions in us right now are on the short side and we have numerous threads discussing what the motives behind that are.
Where I deviate slightly is the undervalued argument. If someone is a long term investor, especially a value investor, then of course you are supposed to look for businesses that by your judgement/calculations are undervalued. So if GGP was not undervalued right now at 11.5p but a person held shares in GGP already from some time ago, then why would a person hold onto them? Why would they not sell up and move their capital to a better opportunity? The logic doesn't really make sense. In my view, GGP is undervalued depending on how many ounces of gold we eventually define in the ground. That's a matter of subjectivity but looking at the continuous outpouring of positive drill intercepts, expecially the eastern breccia, I feel very confident it's more than what the MRE is and what the brokers are basing 20p+ targets on. So if I put my value investing hat on, then no doubt this presents a great opportunity if I can hold my shares for a long duration (as the original poster states).
I'm not going to paper over cracks, the current SP is awful and the technical chart has been terrible for over a year now. From a chart perspective, we should have been gone last November. But many of us remain due to the fundamentals at play here. Many great stocks and investors have been -50% on positions before making great sums of money. So lets hope that happens here aha