Member Info for Madmaxium

Looks like we are about to breakout on the weekly

I hear you Druid, been there myself too. no malice intended, like George Carlin said “it one big club and we ain’t in it” :-)

Don’t forget the epic bearish sentiment of previous investors too Druid, that’s a great indicator!

To early for a pop, vix needs to wake up first over 40, interesting how shell is selling its stakes in the North Sea wonder where they will be reinvesting and heading next!

Apologies it was supposed to read projects, yeah quite a programme going on over there, a lot of positivity from shareholders on the rns.
See how the sp holds up next week if it is a blow off it will play out fast too much optimism makes me nervous

Not sure micktrick, noticed predator taken out a
director loan for 1,125,000 to fund the project. You know looking at the chart of predator I wouldn’t want to be sitting in it after that rally looks like a blow off top to me head down to 5p range.

That’s good news saves on costly drawn out battle if they can settle mutually,

Haha I will let Eytan know his jobs up for grabs, only after I have finished my nda agreement of course, ;-)

Lol true Druid

Lol I tried to share my view i can see it’s pointless, being called starchild or the other one.. now nda contracts with who CEG to pump the stock??, it’s a predictable system anyone who speaks differently from the herd mentality is shot down always happens then when it goes up the reverse happens seen it a bunch of times, but I can understand why, don’t blame you
There is a difference the rampers focus completely on the company and just repeat good news and hype, they have no thoughts of there own regards on market movements cause they don’t understand it question them on it and they never reply.

Volatility spike in vix from disorderly selling is next to push oil down further and dollar up, big shake out is coming in US markets and money will move to uk stocks as dollar is strong against pound very attractive depressed oil stocks.

Can only handle one incredible bearish board at a time Linton,
Doesn’t discredit what I said, crude oil is down another 5% dollar is up today Goldman just lowered there forecast for oil, we are heading into deflation very fast now.

ZagEgypt I am not willec or starchild, sorry these people have caused you harm,

I respect you as an investor, I am not getting pulled into this type of toxic oppression of opposing views. If a share chat discussion board is not to share ideas about the stock what’s the point?
Your right it was a longwinded post you didn’t have to read it, but trying to explain market cycles in 3000 characters is a challenge since books have hundreds of pages written about the subject, I thought I did well.
If I am wrong you can call me out come march and add me to the list of willec and starchild but please give it the time to see first if I am talking rubbish. I have money invested nothings for certain I know the risks.
All the best

I did micktrick not in U.K. but in US oil stocks in 2012 to 2014 got rinsed out, hard lesson but was naive and new to investing followed the crowd and fell for the hype, I focused my research on the companies knew them inside out but now I know it’s only part of the picture I was stunned when they fell producing oil turning a profit but still dropping the market looks ahead not behind, didn’t ever think of the oil market as a whole and cycles within cycles, thats why I agree and disagree with John briggs, he’s right a good company team and fundamental's should be key to a good investment in a ideal world but cycles play a even bigger role when it comes to oil stocks,
also remembering you are being prayed upon by pro investors who can mess around with TA charts to a certain degree to make you doubt the trade but the patterns always play out correctly in the end. It’s a fascinating world investing and trading,
Thanks micktrick good luck to you too.

I hear you John I understand your view of this company but you and older investors that have been taken through the mill are being played.. I will explain why, the fundamental aspect of things is oil super cycle… we are in it, oil recovered massively last year now it will have a pull back CEG is producing oil they are making money off it, they have sorted the debt out which will help in the deflation period we are about to enter, they do have Uruguay as a farm out possibility, majors are being told they have to invest in order to avoid windfall taxes governments are leaning on them now, they are cash rich currently they will invest into smaller companies during a deflation period, they always focus on production and investing during deflation as cash is worth more and materials are overheads are cheaper so they can cash in during a high inflationary period.

So the farm out is very likely, doesn’t mean they find oil but the hype alone is what will raise SP price yes it’s naive yes it’s hype but that’s how money is made knowing when to get out is the task before the bubble pops..
now micktrick answer honestly when oil prices fall what do you do as a retail investor?? Your first thought is oil prices drop this stock will drop too, am I right. Professional traders and institutions use this time to buy up the stock which confuses retail investors, price explodes higher you have a bull market the goal is to get your money from your account to theirs always have that in your mind,
Then oil prices start to climb again pros and institutional money start to sell because retail become bullish price has climbed and now oil is going up this company will do great and greed sets in and hype good news they never think it will stop going up and buy not realising they are being dumped on in each dip bad news reports etc to cover the fact but that’s what’s happening. Dips keep dipping and then complacency sets in stock tanks and fear panic etc. cycle begins over again.
Neither of you have to believe what I say but here is a couple of markers to watch out for!
A suddenly deflation event, something in the news it will affect commodity’s the dollar will strengthen on it push commodity even lower. Vix will jump over 40-50 … I think oil will go right down to $40 range, sharp and sudden. This will be where money starts being invested into small caps and going into stocks like CEG after around two weeks it takes for traders to reposition themselves so you have time to act.
Then good news will come out big jump up in SP on CEG, now this I reckon will happen between now and march, March is a troubling month I think the deflation event is anytime now give a week or two…

I personally would take profits before march at this point and watch the stock I could be wrong but I think a sharp decline will occur in CEG stock at this point could be on a news event. When oil prices begin to climb again that’s the que for pros to dump.

If my timing is correct The black swan deflation shock is imminent, charts are showing it’s about to happen watch oil prices, dollar will go up oil will fall market dynamics are about to change. CEG will benefit.

In a ideal world your right John briggs, but this world ain’t ideal

Investor Sentiment follows money, money follows market dynamics,
When deflation hits big time money will flow to the only safe place in town which is oil stocks propped up by oil prices which is being propped up by the world governments.. U.K. stock market will be very attractive along with its deeply depressed oil stocks small caps like CEG will benefit from the cash flows.

Fair enough Druid,

I knew you would comment on it Druid, no I am not willec before my time but I have read you all mentioning him.
I don’t buy into watching the ceo and the lifestyle company idea, many ceos behave this way not just CEG, ( Gulfport energy for example using company credit card for personal purchases and charted flights for holidays, scandals are abound secret wine cellars with investors money as the company faces bankruptcy) heard it all before.
I also don’t buy into the positive spin ceos put out if the oil market shows otherwise the ceos can’t do anything to change that except lead investors to the chopping block.
I look beyond the company and to the fundamentals of where the oil market is, deflation is coming, oil markets have been propped up for the future. During deflation the dollar will fall this is also a tail wind for oil companies. U.K. market has been left for dead well over 10 years in various sectors, to the point AIM stocks are classed as a scam.
The saying everyone is a genus in a bull market is true because all stocks go up I just think CEG has the most to recoup, it’s a boom and bust cycle business all of that is outside the ceos control.
Tails winds for this company are now outnumbering the head winds into next year,
That’s all if you have a counter argument regards oil markets not based on superficial issues about the ceo, willec, starfish and rampers leading people astray in your eyes I will listen,
I like to talk ideas not people.

I am bullish for this stock and have positions and I will share why,
I think we are about to get a shock in the markets (black swan event) leading to deflation, on top of that the rate increases by central banks will be felt from march onwards getting more painful for well over a year everyone is cheering a end to inflation but aren’t looking at the consequences for there stocks, lower prices leads to lower revenues lay offs and debts become a massive risk for companies to service Bankruptcy’s etc. so many investors are on the wrong side of the trades hoping for deflation and a massive rally when it happens but the opposite will happen it will be a slow but constant decline for investors.

World governments have been selling oil reserves for over a year to bring oil prices down during inflation, however come next year it will work in reverse and oil reserves being bought back will prop up the oil market and Saudi oil production cuts will assist along with Russia being pushed out of the oil market in December,
So that being said, challenger has sorted out its debt and just turned cash positive, with oil prices being propped up while everything else takes a hit from deflation, this company is primed for facing that.
Investor sentiment is very bearish for good reason over 10 years of decline…
Investors will pile in to value trades holding this stock now is going to be one of your top performers come next year I feel personally,
During low oil prices oil company’s invest production and farm out making Uruguay a good possibility,

A correction in this stock price will come in the form the predator legal battle at some point so keep vigilant in regards to that. Having a price to sell and stick to it is wise as a rally can make you take too much risk at the top of the market. Always remeber to get out when you see euphoria! It will fell horrible at the time but you will thank yourself after...