Times27 Sep 2020 11:17
Quit while you’re ahead with William Hill
Jill Treanor
Sunday September 27 2020, 12.01am BST, The Sunday Times
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Just after lunchtime on Friday, an announcement sent William Hill’s share price off at a gallop. The FTSE 250 bookmaker confirmed a Bloomberg report and said it was on the receiving end of not just one but two bids.
It was rocket fuel for the stock, which eventually ended the day at 312p — 43% higher on the day and back to where it was in mid-2018.
The bidders — Caesars Entertainment, owner of Caesars Palace in Las Vegas, and private equity firm Apollo — are not so interested in the chain of shops on UK high streets. The £2 limit on fixed-odds betting terminals, cut from £100, led to the closure of 700 William Hill stores, and other rules have also been tightened. Gambling using credit cards was banned in April.
What the bidders really want is exposure to the bookie’s operations in America, where William Hill has a 29% market share, taking one in every four legal sports bets. It has the potential to be a fast-growing market, as sports betting was legalised just two years ago and is being adopted by a number of states. William Hill has partnerships with CBS Sports and casino operator Eldorado — which changed its name to Caesars after buying out the business this summer.
This is likely to be the future growth engine of William Hill, which was founded in 1934 and now employs 12,000 people. Sales last year were £1.6bn — 8% of them generated in the US — resulting in £147m of profits.
A year ago, The Sunday Times revealed that William Hill had held abortive talks about a £6bn merger with Caesars in 2018 — a move interpreted at the time as putting the bookie in play.
William Hill has missed out on merger action in the past. In 2016, rivals Rank and 888 were suitors, while its preferred option, a deal with Amaya of Canada, failed.
London-listed rivals have already got together. Paddy Power and Betfair merged in 2015, while GVC has hoovered up Ladbrokes Coral.
The key question for investors after the share price raced away on Friday is whether there is more to come. Greg Johnson, an analyst at broker Shore Capital who issued a buy recommendation just 24 hours before the bid news, is sceptical about the merits of a private equity takeover.
He sees more merit in the offer from Caesars, putting a price on William Hill’s US operations of about 300p a share — with potentially 100p a share for the rest.
Johnson maintains his buy stance. But for those who backed the £224m fundraising in June at 128p, it might be a nervous wait — and a good opportunity to leave the racecourse with a profit. Sell.