Member Info for loudspeaker

In the early stages on AIM of an explorer, producer, junior miner, every RNS on developments,operational updates, quarter reports ,change of commodity price ,drilling results etc.alters the SP and broker target SP, so they really should be taken with a pinch of salt.

Jeez bro get real ,whoever takes any notice of broker notes on AIM.

This is what AIM is all about in third world countries, jurisdiction risks, unsavoury Government's, state capture, corruption of political parties.

It's a gamble, a casino, but you only have to call one right and back it with conviction to make a tidy pile.

AIM junkies understand this and take a risk. the rewards are high.

If you're risk averse stick to the footse and managed funds..

The Osun state posted the order at 1500hrs yesterday on Their X account i picked it straight away .So TSXV knew about it and finished pretty flat.

It's posted on lse and on X a bit earlier this morning and we drop 15%

The Company obviously were aware of it and something as big as an alleged mine closer if true would have to be RNSs first thing this morning

Something stinks.

It looks like a publicity stunt to me and it was the office promises that were allegedly sealed up not the mine

https://x.com/Osun_State_Gov/status/1840745566164099447?t=8we_1aLaB4J3KppBrVmazg&s=19

Gold just hit @-$2670 per oz

M1 ROB, your posting history peals back the layers, close that short or you're going to lose the shirt off your back.

I see the TSX shorting crew have doubled up instead of taking their medicine and closing.

POG is like a rolling juggernaut heading towards -$3000 per oz.

Cash is king and solves all,problems especially with a tax free holiday until the end of 2026.

Gold flying $2642 per oz as I type

Absolutely flying.

Https://www.mining.com/web/graphic-gold-bulls-set-sights-on-previously-dismissed-record-3000-oz-milestone/

Not just a one trick pony.

https://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/news/1054723/thor-explorations-reports-record-q2-gold-production-profit-as-plant-upgrade-and-gold-price-pay-off-1054723.html

And no corporation tax liabilities until after 2026 this is a serious cash cow ,unless there is a major curve ball that we don't know about, but which we'll find out when the company communicates next week.

Just hit $2475 per oz.

That's more than double the top end $ 1200 AISC Costs.

Using the bottom end 95k oz production guidance, the $115 mcap for this company is way out of kilter

Just broke $2450 per oz

Can't get a quote to by any amount atm

2/2

Examine Market Sentiment and External Factors:Market Trends: Understand broader market trends and investor sentiment. Sometimes a stock can be undervalued due to temporary market conditions or negative sentiment rather than a true decline in fundamentals.Macroeconomic Factors: Consider the impact of interest rates, inflation, and economic growth on the company’s valuation.5. Consider Qualitative Factors:Management Quality: Strong leadership can justify a premium valuation.Industry Position: A company with a strong competitive advantage (e.g., a wide moat) might deserve a higher valuation.Growth Prospects: Companies with high growth potential may appear overvalued based on current earnings but could be fairly valued or even undervalued when future growth is considered.6. Use Sensitivity Analysis:Given that intrinsic value estimates can vary based on assumptions (e.g., growth rates, discount rates), perform sensitivity analysis to see how changes in these assumptions affect the valuation. This helps to understand the robustness of your conclusion about whether a stock is undervalued or overvalued.Final Decision:If the stock is significantly undervalued based on your analysis and you believe the market will eventually recognize this value, it could be a good buying opportunity. Conversely, if it’s overvalued, it might be a good time to sell or avoid purchasing.Remember: No single metric or method is foolproof. Combining different approaches and continuously monitoring the stock's performance and the company's fundamentals is crucial to making informed investment decisions.

To determine whether a company is undervalued or overvalued, you can compare its current market price to its intrinsic value, which you estimate using fundamental analysis. Here’s a step-by-step approach to making this determination:

### 1. **Calculate the Intrinsic Value of the Stock:**

- **Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis:**

- Estimate the company’s future cash flows.

- Select an appropriate discount rate (often the Weighted Average Cost of Capital, WACC).

- Discount the future cash flows back to their present value and sum them up.

- Add the present value of the terminal value (the value of the company beyond the forecast period).

- The sum of these discounted cash flows represents the intrinsic value of the company.

- **Comparable Multiples (Relative Valuation):**

- Use valuation multiples such as the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio, Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio, or Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio.

- Compare the company’s multiples to those of similar companies in the same industry.

- If the company’s multiples are significantly lower than its peers, it might be undervalued, and vice versa.

### 2. **Compare Intrinsic Value to Market Price:**

- **Undervalued Stock:**

- If the intrinsic value you calculate is higher than the current market price of the stock, the stock is considered undervalued. This suggests that the market may be underestimating the company’s future prospects, and the stock could have the potential to rise in price over time as the market corrects this mispricing.

- **Overvalued Stock:**

- If the intrinsic value is lower than the current market price, the stock is considered overvalued. This suggests that the market may be overly optimistic about the company’s future prospects, and the stock could be at risk of declining in price as the market corrects this overvaluation.

### 3. **Analyze Financial Ratios:**

- **P/E Ratio**: Compare the company's P/E ratio to its industry average. A lower P/E may indicate undervaluation, while a higher P/E may suggest overvaluation.

- **P/B Ratio**: A P/B ratio below 1 might suggest the stock is undervalued relative to its book value. Conversely, a high P/B ratio could indicate overvaluation.

- **Dividend Yield**: Compare the dividend yield to the industry or market average. A higher-than-average yield might indicate undervaluation, but also consider the sustainability of dividends.

### 4. **Examine Market Sentiment and External Factors:**

- **Market Trends**: Understand broader market trends and investor sentiment. Sometimes a stock can be undervalued due to temporary market conditions or negative sentiment rather than a true decline in fundamentals.

- **Macroeconomic Factors**: Consider the impact of interest rates, inflation, and economic growth on the company’s valuation.

### 5. **Consider Qualitative Factors:**

- **Management Quality**: Strong le

The ultimate metric often used to determine the true value of a stock or share is **intrinsic value**. Intrinsic value represents the estimated real or "true" value of a company, as opposed to its current market price. It is based on fundamental analysis, which examines a company's financial statements, business model, management, and industry position.

There are several methods to estimate intrinsic value, but two of the most common are:

1. **Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis**:

- This method estimates the present value of a company's future cash flows. The idea is to project the future cash flows the company will generate and then discount them back to their present value using an appropriate discount rate (often the company's weighted average cost of capital, WACC).

- The formula is:

\[

\text{Intrinsic Value} = \sum \left(\frac{\text{Free Cash Flow}_t}{(1 + r)^t}\right) + \frac{\text{Terminal Value}}{(1 + r)^n}

\]

where \( t \) is the year, \( r \) is the discount rate, and \( n \) is the number of years into the future.

2. **Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio**:

- The P/E ratio compares a company's current share price to its earnings per share (EPS). While not a direct measure of intrinsic value, it is often used to assess whether a stock is overvalued or undervalued relative to its earnings.

- The intrinsic value can be approximated as:

\[

\text{Intrinsic Value} = \text{EPS} \times \text{Industry Average P/E Ratio}

\]

- Analysts compare a company's P/E ratio to that of similar companies or the overall market to determine if the stock is fairly valued.

Both of these methods, particularly DCF, rely heavily on assumptions about the future, so the accuracy of the intrinsic value calculation depends on the quality of those assumptions. While intrinsic value is a key metric, it's important to remember that market prices often reflect not just fundamental values but also investor sentiment, macroeconomic factors, and other considerations.

Absolutely Adw1198. Comparing the valuation of stocks on their SP rather than there Mcap is a Rookie error.

Oh well another week over and another $2million + profit in the bank.

Unless there's a serious curve ball being thrown here that we don't know about, this is a serious cash cow unloved and flying well under the radar.

I have been trading in AIM stocks since it's inception in 1995.

It is cesspit and not an efficient market, it is also the least regulated on the LSE..

Nothing surprises me anymore as most of the listed companies are just lifestyle with not many genuine investment opportunities .

Don't try to understand valuations as most are just flavour of the month and sentiment driven.

Stocks are easily manipulated on low volumes and professional shorting crew's are rife.

The MMs and brokers are also very suspect,it took an FBI sting to bring one of them down a few ago think it was Beaufort and Cornhill was heavily fined after bring caught naked short selling.

Trying to understand true company valuations is is almost impossible with all the obfuscation on trade prints that go on.

But it's a gamble and we all love a buzz.