RE: Podcast - No placing8 Oct 2018 13:42
Allenby note out today - see last line about cash burn
Audioboom plc* (BOOM.L, 1.4p/£16.4m)
9m trading update - FY to be below expectations (04.10.18)
Q3 revenue increased 14% on Q2 FY18 and 26% on Q3 FY17 to more than $2.4m. In spite of this growth, revenue for the 13 months to December 2018 is now expected to be in the range of $11.5m to $13m (ACLe forecast for the 12 months to November 2018 was $13.6m). The revised guidance still represents >100% growth on FY17 ($6.1m).
The shortfall in revenue will result in a larger loss than expected (ACLe: $3.1m) and management is guiding to an adj. LBITDA of $4.5m to $5.5m (FY17: $5.7m). Cash at the end of September was $1.6m (H1 FY18: $0.4m) following June's $5.9m placing. Cash at the end of June was $3.4m having settled creditors and costs of the aborted Triton Digital acquisition.
The aborted transaction with Triton Digital is cited as the main reason for the performance shortfall as the company lost some long-standing content partners to rival platforms as it was focusing resource on the acquisition. Management believes this is now behind it and can point to high profile signings including Formula 1 and Jonathan Ross and new AON content such as 'Dead Man Talking'.
The number of number of smaller podcasters that are paying subscriptions ($9.99 per month) to use the Audioboom platform has increased 19% to 1,883; revenue per 1,000 listens in the US is up 40% and the brand advertiser count was 154 at Q3 (Q2: 130).
Separately, Michael Tobin OBE, who joined as non-executive chairman in September, acquired 1.2m shares (04.10.18). And a further 0.7m on the 8th.
Allenby Capital comment: Disappointing update from the podcasting company and in contrast to the positive tone in July's interims. Although the company has continued to grow in revenue and other KPIs, trading has taken longer to recover from the distraction of the aborted transaction with Triton Digital. The guidance for the final four months suggests a substantial uplift in trading (between $5.7m and $7.2m) from the first nine month and management believes this will come from further growth in live read advertising in the US, sponsorship agreements plus live read advertising in the UK (similar to the Bose/F1 deal) and buy-side advertising agency sales. This level of revenue plus the cost savings already undertaken would result in a much lower loss in the final four months (c. $0.8m), per the guidance.