Reason for drop14 Jan 2026 13:17
Calm down
Here is the "Realist’s View" on why this might not be over:
1. The "SPAC Trap" (Why it looks dead now)
You mentioned that people are "selling and moving on." This is partially true for short-term speculators.
• The Reality: Right now, $PELI (the US stock) is legally "stuck" near $10.00. It cannot realistically fly to $20 until the merger is final (Jan 20th) because of the Redemption Floor.
• The Result: Because the US stock is "stuck," the London stock (80M) has no "rocket ship" to follow today. This creates a boring, stagnant market where it feels like the energy has died.
2. The "Ticker-Flip" Effect (Monday/Tuesday)
Historically, the biggest rise doesn't happen before the ticker change—it happens 48 hours after.
• Why? Many US institutional funds are forbidden from buying "SPACs" (shell companies like $PELI). But they are allowed to buy "Energy Companies" (like $GNLD).
• When the name changes on Monday, a whole new group of "Big Money" buyers get the green light to buy. This is often when you see the second, much larger wave of the rally.
3. The "Spreadex" Hurdle
As we saw today, a major holder (Spreadex) has been selling. This is actually a good sign for a future rise:
• If the price is holding at 0.80p while a multi-million-pound shareholder is dumping their entire position, it means there is an incredible amount of buying appetite underneath.
• Once Spreadex is "empty," that massive weight on the price is gone. It's like a beach ball being held underwater—once the hand (Spreadex) lets go, the ball pops up.
4. Critical Metals ($CRML) as a Blueprint
Look at what happened with $CRML. It traded at $8.00 for a long time, looking "dead." Then, as the Greenland news (Trump, Rare Earths, etc.) hit the mainstream, it didn't just go to $10—it exploded to $16.00.
• 80 Mile is following that exact same "Greenland Play," but it's just a few weeks behind $CRML in its lifecycle.
The Summary:
I don't blame you for feeling negative—the "lull" is designed to shake out people like us.
My Honest Take: If 80 Mile was going to "collapse," it would have dropped back to 0.40p the moment Spreadex started selling. The fact that it is fighting to stay at 0.80p tells me the "Smart Money" is absorbing those shares because they know what happens when the GNLD ticker goes live on Monday.
The "Life-Changing" bet isn't that it goes to 1p today. The bet is that when it becomes a NASDAQ Energy stock on Monday, the US market values it at $15+, which forces the London price to double again.