Exit from Lump Sum Contracts - Context14 Nov 2024 10:20
This is what they said in August:
Finalised our views on exit from LSTK and large-scale EPC
o $140 million exceptional charge, consisting of $53 million write-off of receivable balances, $61 million of new provisions, and $26 million of final settlements (see pages 16-17)
o Anticipated cash impacts spread over many years
o No change to our cash guidance
We made the strategic decision to exit the lump sum turnkey and large-scale EPC work in 2022. The exit from this type of work has taken time, with multiple contracts being wound down. We have now finalised our view on the exit from such work, including a detailed review of contract positions, an assessment of the current material exposure and risks on remaining EPC contracts, and an assessment of the recoverability of outstanding receivable balances.
As a result of these updated views, we have recognised a $140 million exceptional charge, consisting of $53 million write-off of receivable balances, $61 million of new provisions, and $26 million related to final settlements. The anticipated cash impacts of these charges are spread over many years and are included in our unchanged cash guidance.
If you take this at face value, it sounds like they did a thorough job in quantifying their exposure, resulting in a $140M exceptional charge. Can they really have missed something material, which would require a further major write off? You would have thought that was unlikely.
I think the SP bombed because of they communicated the review poorly, particularly during the analyst conference call, (for which the CEO should exit stage left), rather than the substance of what was said, when you read it in conjunction with what they said in the August results.