RE: FT talking truth7 Oct 2025 13:01
JPMorgan, Aston Martin’s joint house broker, forecasts £360mn of cash burn in 2025 and a further £230mn in the first half of 2026.
Seasonality is one of the many peculiar things about Aston Martin, with the company making the bulk of its sales in the second half. That means cash burn should ease by the end of 2026.
Still, to keep the lights on in the meantime, Aston Martin may need to raise another £200mn, JPM says. It expects a cash call on similar terms to the previous two, which were done at a £2.3bn enterprise value.
Another thing lacking, in addition to profit and cash flow, is a break-even target. Today’s profit warning came with a small cut to capex and a pledge to reduce sales and administration costs, but no guidance more specific than 2026 should be better than 2025.
With a very concentrated ownership base and no big debt refinancings due before 2029, a route to profitability may be less of a concern to Aston Martin’s bosses than to independent shareholders.
https://www.ft.com/content/8012aa40-c5a1-4807-aaa9-2a5e3727d60b