RE: Heron 1, 800 barrels a day?29 Nov 2024 10:01
That's totally missing the point, or ignoring it. The issue for any buyer right now is whether a placing is going to put them at an instant loss to the tune of whatever the discount and dilution will be. You never buy an AIM share ahead of a placing.
At the moment, we don't know exactly what revenue MATD have, or when they will secure revenue from sales. What we do know is that they are NOT going to get sales revenue in December and January. It will take at least that long before MRPAM approves the deal. As MB said "then and only then" can MATD apply for the export licence. He did not say that this would be a quick process. So assuming MRPAM approval of deal by January, i'd say add in at least another 6-8 weeks for export licence - as MATD knows only too well, nothing happens quickly in Mongolia, at least not for MATD.
So that takes us into March/April before sales revenue is generated.
In the meantime, MATD continue to incur operational costs, costs in reviewing Heron 1 issues, Heron 2 issues, reviewing Gobi, and working capital costs. They've taken on extra manpower at Heron 1, as MB referred to. Add to this the forward costs of whatever work programmes are decided, in particular at Heron 2, which as MB said, could involve a second drill.
So it's the finances that are the big question mark right now, until or unless MB says otherwise, or a placing or loan lands. All imo and dyor