RE: Oncimmune Shares News20 Feb 2025 12:29
N addition to the Directors' review of monthly management accounts, the Directors have considered the output from both going concern scenarios against the covenants agreed with IPF. These are a minimum cash covenant and a minimum last-twelve-months (LTM) revenue covenant. The former changes by month based on the cash profile discussed with IPF at the time of the October 2024 debt restructuring, and the threshold of the latter is set at 80% of the actual and forecast revenues over the preceding 12-month period. The LTM revenue covenant is designed to track the growth projection of the Company's revenues, and if the 80% threshold is not met, the LTM Revenue covenant ceases to be measured and the cash covenant doubles. Both covenants were met in the first three months of testing, i.e. October, November and December 2024.
The Directors have determined that, based on the base case forecast, the 80% threshold of the LTM revenue covenant will not be met and therefore the doubled level of the cash covenant will apply. Even though revenues continue to increase, they are not doing so at the pace required to meet the increased cash covenants. In this scenario, the Group will require further funding during the year. The Company is most likely to obtain these via financing process(es) involving current and/or new investors and/or a strategic collaboration. If any financing is sufficient to maintain liquidity but not to satisfy the cash covenants, temporary waivers would be sought with IPF (who, since the debt-for-equity transaction, are the largest shareholder), thereby giving the Group further runway to conclude strategic collaborations.
The plausible downside scenario would necessitate further increased inflows of funds and/or renegotiation with IPF.
Based on the above, the Directors have a reasonable expectation that the Group can continue to operate for the foreseeable future, however, there are material uncertainties relating to the quantum and timing of new order intake, the outcome of any financing processes and the outcome of any further renegotiation with IPF. For these reasons, the Directors acknowledge the existence of a material uncertainty which may cast significant doubt over the Group's and the Company's ability to continue in operation.