Interest Rate Hikes6 Jul 2018 07:42
Think this guy gets quite a bit wrong as do most of CNBC at critical periods (like GS, they're contrarian inidicators!), but has a point in this article:
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/07/05/cramer-us-treasury-bonds-predict-recession-if-fed-raises-rates-again.html
''Here’s what bonds are saying right now. They're saying that with the two-year Treasury so close in yield to the 10-year Treasury, ... we're almost experiencing a flat yield curve," the "Mad Money" host said. "That matters because when you have a flat yield curve, it does usually presage a recession. It’s a sign that investors are worried about the future."
One ongoing trend that could "send us over the edge" and into recession is the Federal Reserve's agenda for hiking interest rates, Cramer said.
"If the Federal Reserve were to raise rates again too soon, it's possible that the two-year Treasury would indeed yield the same return as the 10-year," he warned.
Worse, if long-term rates don't go any higher, U.S. banks — which tend to benefit from higher interest rates — could suffer because they can't make as much money on long-term loans.''