RE: Is the price way too high ?5 May 2021 17:45
NAV is determined at point of purchase and is more of a negotiation for the company to raise the capital it needs, they work out a valuation but it's still at best a minimal guesstimate and always vastly better than what retail inevitably pays on IPO because it is riskier and earlier. This valuation is also based on when they invested, which could have been years ago.
Valuations, NAV, ppe are what investors look for to find undervalued stocks of companies that are already established, that have revenue, growth expectations. Early tech investing generally ignores that because the growth in a winner is expected to be so parabolic that any valuation gets left in the dust daily.
Anic is in a unique position because hype is building around clean meat but there is only one outlet for retail interest, it is somewhere between private investing and an IPO, spiking the price. They have been diluting their shares to raise capital for more investment and every time it gets bought back up again.
Is the price going to continue to spike and dip? Absolutely. Do I think it's going to crash this close to Blue Nalu and others hitting shelves? Absolutely not, and if it does I'm going to buy a ton. When you have, as mentioned, Oatly with the $10 billion ipo, impossible, beyond etc... All in the billions. ANIC owns roughly 5% of each of it's portfolio companies, even if only 1 ipos at $10 billion and the rest of the companies go to 0, ANIC stock would 3.5x from here.