RE: Modi 1 trial18 Aug 2022 13:27
My understanding of the trial design (fwiw)..
The first cohort (3 patients) had the low dose administered, then assessed for signs of toxicity, and the data was then collated and put to the safety board to review and approve progression. All of which took 2 months. Its possible that they may have seen clinical benefit in these patients, but also possibly not. The dose was potentially sub-therapeutic level.
The second cohort (also 3 patients) will be given the full dose. This is the level expected to be therapeutic, but primarily they will be concerned with the safety profile. My gut feel is that the time to dose and report on these patients will be the same as the initial cohort - 2 months. They will still go slow as they will be concerned with side effects at the new dose. It may however take longer to report the results, as they may want to do more analysis on the immune response, but unlikely as they will still have done that analysis on the first cohort.
Once this cohort has been approved its all systems go on the Monotherapy side of the trial. Roughly 30 patients can then be enrolled, dosed and assessed.
For the Checkpoint inhibitor combination therapy, the safety run in begins again, with the low dose given in combination with CIs and the focus on safety.
So to answer your question. I suspect another 2 months for the report on the second cohort, where we might get some additional early clinical data. Followed by another 3-6 months where the extra trial sites initialize and monotherapy patients are dosed and assessed. If I am correct I would hopefully expect some sort of meaningful clinical data by about Q2 2023.
Of course, its worth bearing in mind that if there are any potential suitors to moditope - then they pull the trigger on any offer at any stage - particularly as early data starts to come in. In other words, there is no way i would want to be out of this share whilst waiting on Q2.