USA stress test2 Jul 2023 08:29
I've been reading MikeS02 & Giraffe4444 and both make some plausible arguments. Being a holder I'm more inclined to side with G4444.
The downturn was pretty much triggered by what was happening in America. As per The ft article they have all just now passed a stress test, BOA paper loss on its treasury holding looks horrible but the market hasn't reacted, infact the price on US shares has gone up especially when they all announced an increase in dividend payments on the back of it. I'm therefore thinking we may well have hit a bottom, admittedly there are is a lot of uncertainty regarding the economy and therefore provision for bad debts, but the free money keeps rolling in to compensate. I personally think we are entering another golden era for banking shares, the market just hasn't digested that yet.
As regards the results on the 28th July, I could well see another special dividend.