RE: Maybe25 Apr 2026 19:50
MM, best not to conflate my post on analysing the trades solely from yesterday, with your wider concerns IMO.
You, and only you can assess your own risk tolerance, position size, and time horizon. If the wait no longer fits, exit. If the assets still align, continued patience is rational. Results, not rhetoric, will decide. As can be seen yesterday, the market will take your shares for sure.
Molefe, woth its Phase 1 results being excellent, is not a shift away from other assets - I see it as a pragmatic, low-commitment move designed to generate near-term cash flow while, (most of )the rest of the portfolio advances in parallel.
We know that Luansobe has not landed, but we also know from a prior AGM that a multiple of the current market cap was tabled and rejected during a low copper price environment. We also know it has serious blue sky potential so CB is correct in rejecting lowball offers for an asset that has a very high value. When ti does land those who stuck with the programme will be well rewarded IMO. A multiple of current market cap for Molefe, and a multiple for Luansobe - those two alone beat most companies returns, and certainly better than most 'safe' investments. I presume you are here because you want a large multiple. With that comes risk and volatility.
So, Molefe offers a pathway to meaningful free cash flow participation with modest spend and quick timelines which most on here have been pleading/wishng for, while the higher-risk/higher-reward exploration assets (Luansobe, Shinganda, Ferber) continue de-risking in the background. Success at Molefe could help fund or support the rest of the portfolio and I look forward to the Phase 2 exploration results, Molefe update from JLP, the 23.75% interest being confirmed for GLR, and next steps.
I also see Kalahari assets being sold off - PL39/PL40 with 'close' to Khoemacau, PL253 next door to BHP/Cobres interest, as well as Ka$hitu provding a meaningul multiple. Not sure about Zimbabwe assets - I have written those off. Even Shinganda is likely to get an open pit going at some point imo.
I do wonder if some % asset swaps JVs are on the table between GLR and JLP in Zambia. That would make things interesting.