RE: Blaimthrower - great tweet. Taken from your Twitter account6 Apr 2023 12:22
Loads I've looked at the figures given and will give my take on it as I see it but stress it's just an opinion.
Q1 average was 841 bopd, no mention of gas.
Exit rate given as 1445 boepd which includes gas.
Ash 8 stable at around 759 boepd, my calcs yours might differ, but want to stress that uog expected any gas to be neglible in their guidance so not sure if it will be stable or if they expect a rapid decline in gas.
So I worked out the total q1 production and it did tally to around an average of 841 bopd,.
Also interestingly my calc also came up with, you might like this, q1 Ave production of 706 boepd without Ash 8, but again i want to stress my calcs.
Exit rate of 1445 boepd seems to suggest that this is current production.
How fast it declines won't be revealed until maybe h1 update , just have to wait and see.
So what will h1 production be, not going to guess I'm afraid.
But the thing that I keep thinking about is that, and I know some can't understand mythinking here, if it wasn't for the $4.8m uog received from the divestments last year and they only ended up with $1.4m in cash where would they have been without this money.
I know some will point out that the bp repayments finish in DECEMBER and they should get $3m from Maria but will it be enough.
Dragging on I know but you should keep an eye out for any news from Jesmond, they hoped to have the placing completed in q1 but it hasn't happened yet and I not suggesting it won't but worthwhile to keep tags on it.
Anyway Loads good luck and don't forget to pull up anyone that posts misleading information.