oil glut13 Jan 2015 11:04
it is simplesz...way too much cheap supply sloshing around
...oil is cheap to pump out of the desert...so simple economics would have oil back at US$10/bbl or lower (but politics will intervene, I guess before we have a rerun of 1998)
...the core narrative:
1. oil for ages was v cheap for a generation; then 1973 shock smashed the global economy
2. oil prices over the past generation have been held high by oligopolistic (or perhaps cartel) behaviour by OPEC
3. with so much non OPEC supply joining (ironically or predictably, choose yr PoV)... cos of high oil prices...the pressures mounted...supply grew and grew
4. and then the oil crash of 2014/5 hit
..BAM