Share Price movements for Tullow Oil25 Jan 2024 19:00
The latest RNS yesterday, at 07:00, gave the latest production numbers for Q4 2023 and the forecast for 2024. When the Market opened at 08:00, the share price was c30p. One could say that the market was then fully aware of the actual 2023 volumes as well as the 2024 forecast. In the first half hour, 382k shares traded and the price ended at 30.641p. Negligible trading.
By 08:49 today, 25 January, 7.7m shares had been traded since the RNS had been released and the share price had increased to 35.188p, for an increase of almost 15%. Over that time period the price of oil (Brent Crude) had increased marginally, above $80 per barrel.
In capitalisation, the Group had gone from c£429m to c£493m(based on 1.4bn shares in issue). This increase in capitalisation of £64m was on the back of only 7.7m share having been traded, which had a value of less than £3m. The Efficient Market Hypothesis says that share prices reflect all available information. If that is true, ceteris paribus, the share price movements over the past two days must demonstrate that there is significant manipulation of this share price taking place. There must come a time when the underlying factors at play here are reflected in the actual share price. DYOR.