RE: Chill out25 Jan 2025 16:04
99IC. Agree completely that a strategic investor could very well theoretically*, fund the equity portion of the Stage 1 costs & agree with your figure of approx $580m + contingencies. However, I would see any strategic investor having to come in at an NPV price based around Stage 1 NPV. For buy-in purposes I have always worked on around 20% shares sold which at $3.68b would raise $736m - so even if there were a smallish discount to Stage 1 NPV a sale of 20% could kickstart the equity portion of Stage 1.
*But one critical issue I see hanging over all development options for Zanaga is: who is going to be the primary developer/operator. ZIOC has never aspired to be anything other than the junior, supporting developer, seriously this is not a Marty task but a Vale, RTZ, FMG level role. This is why I see any buy-in proposals taht leave ZIOC with a stake as being more akin to the original 50%+1` we did with Xstrata. This would give sufficeient headroom eq