CB post3 Sep 2024 07:18
As summer turns to autumn and the fall, so attention in the #DMS world moves to pending decisions from #safety agencies that will define the future of the #driver and #occupant #monitoring market. NHTSA is set to issue the #FMVSS for #impaired driving before the end of the year, to mitigate #distracted, #drowsy and #drunkdriving in the U.S. But it is Euro NCAP - For Safer Cars, Vans & Trucks that is about to really shake things up, with imminent publication of its 2026 Occupant Status Monitoring #OSM #protocols and how these feed into the 5* safety rating. Let's take a look.
Everything changes for the star ratings in 2026. We already know the framework, because that is published. For the 2023 assessment, OSM gave up to 3 points, but OEMs could game the scoring by using woeful DMS and focus on getting points elsewhere to still get a 5* rating. This drove procurement towards low cost DMS which infuriated drivers.
But for 2026, DMS and #OMS (along with vehicle assistance) go into a category called "safe driving." OMS scores 30 points, DMS 30, and assistance 40. What is new is the "balance thresholds" needed for a 5* rating. In 2026, the safe driving category needs 60 points to get 5*, but in 2027 it needs 70, and from 2028 it is 80. Sure an #OEM can "borrow" up to 5 points from "crash avoidance," but the focus shifts to scoring for OMS and DMS. This massively uprates the importance of DMS and OMS performance from 2026, which is exactly what I said would happen. Cheap DMS will come with major consequences.
Further, an OEM will have to score for both driver and occupant monitoring to secure the coveted 5* rating. Sure, we've seen dual camera systems in BMW, but that is a premium brand. How does a mass-market OEM score points for both driver and occupant monitoring within a tight budget? A single camera located in the rear view mirror looks like a sensible option, which I've been talking about for five years.
We can see the requirements for occupant monitoring. The 2026 test protocols for DMS are likely to be published soon, and will be worth up to 25 points. Cheap #visual #distraction algorithms look set to be replaced with complex requirements for both visual and #cognitivedistraction. Euro NCAP is an organization focused on saving lives, so out goes "box-ticking" and in comes an emphasis in the cabin towards understanding human behavior as it applies to crash risk. #Humanfactors expertise is about to become critical, which I've also been talking about for five years.
OEMs have mostly been focused on compliance for #GSR, which lulled them into the cheap and infuriating DMS path, without paying attention to what was happening with NCAP. The 2026 protocols won't impact GSR at all, but the consequence for OEMs looks set to be a lot of models losing the coveted 5* rating.