The EU10 Dec 2013 15:30
Passed a vote today to prop up the carbon market, some analysts are predicting a 35% increase in the price of carbon in the EU as a result. As we know, any increase in the price of carbon is a reduction in CCE's liabilities. Also with China now introducing carbon markets CCE are well positioned to take advantage. Jolly is right in a sense, we are still waiting for carbon markets to gain traction but there are a lot of positive signals from various countries. The Californian market is auctioning carbon credits above the base price of $10.7 and have guaranteed yearly increases of 5% is inflation.
It's interesting that the biogas projects aren't getting much of a mention, there is one up and running and providing revenue with the purchase of another soon to be finalised. The new one at the Twin Falls site provided $300,000 of revenue in the first 4 months of 2013,with higher power rates in the second half of the year it would be reasonable to expect a minimum of $900,000 of revenue from sale of power generated by the project. You can add to that whatever carbon credits are awarded for the project.
As for Redt, it's potentially very exciting prospect in a market that is set to be huge. They have put themselves in a good position to grab a chunk of that market with support from the UK government. Also as CCE own 49% of Redt it is likely that they will be recommending the use of the technology in any systems that they are consulting on. They have a world wide network of contacts in the industry and they will no doubt use them. Redt also have a pilot system in Portugal- a country that sources a large proportion of it's power from renewable sources and are committed to reaching 100%. They will need efficient storage technology to achieve that.
At the moment for me the backbone of the business in the future will be biogas and carbon credits. My investment isn't based on redt, it's an interesting side project with massive potential but until they start releasing news of contracts it's purely speculation.
It is my view as a long term investor that my investment here will be one of my most profitable. The SP will fluctuate on a day to day basis and those with a short term view may be disappointed if they aren't prepared to hold.
This is all in my opinion of course and everyone should do their own research. Especially into the carbon markets which can seem like a shady and complicated area.
Good Luck all Holders,
Jim.