off topic..sorry....OIL....for Theosus5 May 2020 10:26
I saw this yesterday on the HUR board and know you have an interest in OIL....
The biggest thing this “Oil War” injected into the mix was project risk. Where once shale players would have a downside risk modelled at $35 a barrel their downside risk is now probably $15. Chip in a raised required “Internal Rate of Return (IRR)” which was probably 12% but now has to be 18% and the effect is that 90% of US non conventional projects cannot be financed unless done so internally. Chip in the need to repay the banks and the solvent companies simply don’t have the capital to drill anything but the best targets. This longer term is what is going to stop the Shale players re-entering the market and was always the target of the Saudis, the Russians but also the big oil players like BP, Shell, and even 80% of the people at Exxon who wanted rid of “Shale” who capped upside pricing. Welcome back to the 1970s?