RE: JP Morgan downgrades but raises price to £6.7019 Jan 2026 08:25
Investing.com - JPMorgan has downgraded Hochschild Mining Plc. (LON:HOC) from Overweight to Neutral while raising its price target to GBP6.70 from GBP6.00. Despite the downgrade, the stock has shown remarkable strength, with InvestingPro data showing a 187% return over the past year and trading within 1% of its 52-week high of $8.10.
The investment bank forecasts fourth-quarter 2025 production of 53,000 ounces of gold and 2.0 million ounces of silver for the mining company, including 10,000 ounces of gold from the Mara Rosa project. JPMorgan projects full-year 2025 EBITDA of $513 million, slightly below consensus estimates, and net debt of $215 million, 30% above consensus.
For 2026, the bank anticipates consolidated silver production of 8.3 million ounces and gold output of 249,000 ounces, both below consensus forecasts. JPMorgan also expects all-in sustaining costs (AISC) of approximately $2,400 per ounce, significantly higher than the consensus estimate of $2,000 per ounce. InvestingPro data shows Hochschild currently has a market capitalization of $4.04 billion with trailing twelve-month revenue of $1.08 billion, representing nearly 40% growth.
The Mara Rosa recovery remains a key focus, with repair works and installation of a new tailings thickener scheduled for the first half of 2026. JPMorgan forecasts 2026 output from this project at 68,000 tonnes, below the consensus estimate of 72,000 tonnes.
The bank also noted potential delays in the Royropata project timeline beyond 2028, with the environmental impact assessment submission guided for August 2026, while the Monte do Carmo project final investment decision likely depends on Mara Rosa returning to full capacity from mid-2026. According to InvestingPro analysis, Hochschild operates with a moderate debt level and is currently trading slightly below its Fair Value. Subscribers can access 14 additional ProTips and a comprehensive research report on the company’s financial health and growth prospects.
In other recent news, UBS downgraded Hochschild Mining Plc. from a Buy to a Neutral rating, pointing to production challenges as a primary concern. Despite these operational issues, the firm raised its price target slightly to GBP4.80 from GBP4.60. UBS noted that the company’s recent share price gains of approximately 130% have been largely influenced by strong gold and silver prices rather than improvements in company performance. These developments come after several years marked by operational challenges. The downgrade reflects UBS’s cautious stance on the company’s ability to overcome these hurdles in the near term. Investors should consider these factors when evaluating Hochschild Mining’s prospects.