RE: Drop overdone?10 Sep 2024 10:36
A real question for @Maplinman and @Gracetrad1. You're both passionate about this company.
For this stock, where from here?
It is difficult to agree that Xeros are just cynically stringing investors along without an end game @Gracetrad1 but at the same time its equally difficult to be as bullish as you appear to be @Maplinman.
What do we understand?
The IFB delay is a major blow and the time IFB have taken has to raise the risk of will it ever do a mass market launch? Let's be positive and assume it will but not until mid to late 2025. Xeros need revenue now with there current burn and cash at bank. £2.9m in the bank at the end of this year is not much if you think how much they raised this year. A lot of burn for little commercial progress.
Are Donlim going to bridge that? I am unfamiliar with the brand but Google suggests they don't make washing machines for clothes, just fruit!, nor large appliance components so that aspect of the deal this week must have some questions. A link up with a major manufacturer must be the volume play. Much more positively they look like a good choice for the manufacture of the external filter. The question must be how quickly will they get to market in volume and what that volume needs to be.
Many of the major manufacturers now have either their own external filter or have just selected the Matter filter in the case of BSH so the available market must have shrunk? Who must be the targets now?
At a generous £5 royalty per external filter, if a per unit royalty rather than contract manufacture licence is the deal, then Donlim will need to sell nearly a quarter of a million filters, a tenth of the French market so not ridiculous if that is there focus, to get even close to Xeros quarterly burn rate. How long will Donlim product development for a product for volume manufacture take?
What do you think the Xeros leadership need to deliver get to breakeven before they run out of cash? Whats the very next thing they should do? Interested in your answers!