bbe15 May 2012 20:13
Oil prices could double over the next decade with sweeping implications for the global economy, according to a report commissioned by the International Monetary Fund. As oil prices remain at historically high levels of around $110 (£68) a barrel, the working paper warned a combination of rising demand and constrained supply could have major consequences. "Our prediction of small further increases in world oil production comes at the expense of a near doubling, permanently, of real oil prices over the coming decade," the report's authors concluded. "This is uncharted territory for the world economy, which has never experienced such prices for more than a few months." They said that research suggested energy accounted for up to 50% of overall gross domestic product, meaning "the implications of lower oil output growth for GDP could be very large." Persistently high oil prices are already threatening the global economic recovery according to a director of the International Energy Agency, The Telegraph reports.