nex10 Jun 2012 17:05
A further round of cost-cutting and fare hikes swelled profits in 2011, suggesting better times ahead. And there should be. Now, though, with downward momentum building and Spain on a cliff edge, it should make sense to sell the shares and buy back once the bloodletting is over.
Clearly, a second profits warning in 18 months from rival FirstGroup at the end of March proved significant for rivals, too. Express shares had done nicely until then. Now, however, they are down a quarter and the outlook is glum.
The share price is on its way to 180p and, according to our in-house technical analyst, Dominic Picarda, the relief there may only be temporary. Its history of slipping deep into oversold territory implies scope to test price support down to 155p. Traders who want to fine tune their play could wait for the price to bounce back to its 21-day exponential moving average (currently 206p), then sell as the price dips back through that line again.