bvs7 Dec 2012 23:23
Shares in Bovis Homes (BVS) have underperformed their rivals this year. While their price is up 27 per cent, this is lacklustre compared with price rises in, say, Persimmon (up 70 per cent) and Barratt Developments (up 112 per cent). Meanwhile, Bovis's share price still hovers around its underlying net asset value. So there should still be plenty of catching up to do.
Bovis's trading has been perfectly acceptable. Pre-tax profits in the first half of 2012 doubled to £16.2m and the interim dividend was doubled to 3p per share. And there remains room to raise the payout as it was covered nearly three times by after-tax earnings. Operating profit margins climbed from 7.5 per cent to 10.3 per cent, and management is pencilling in 13 per cent for the full year. True, the rarified margins of 22 per cent achieved in 2007 before the housing market collapsed may not be seen again for a generation, but they give an idea of the scope for further improvement.
The big drivers behind rising profits are greater use of cheap land bought after the market collapsed and a steady increase in house prices - up from £180,100 on average last year to around £190,000 by the third quarter. Bovis has also been increasing the number of sales outlets, up 12 per cent to 83. It plans to have 90 selling sites by the end of the year, and 105 in 2013. Net reservations per site per week at 0.46 homes are up slightly from 0.45 a year earlier.
However, the UK mortgage market remains tough, despite incentive schemes to help buyers on to the first rung of the housing ladder. Yet first-time buyers only account for a quarter of new homes sold and solid demand from existing homeowners meant that, by the end of the third quarter, Bovis had secured sufficient reservations to meet its 2012 sales targets; completions in the 45 weeks to 9 November were up from 1,517 a year earlier to 1,669. Management reckons the figure will have risen to around 2,350 by the end of the year.