DCM Strategy22 Mar 2018 15:45
Whilst some of the criticisms regularly made on this board are justified, those that relate to the strategy adopted at DCM are in my opinion way off the mark.The business rescue opportunity at ASA which enabled the company to get into chrome production was a god send. The nimble change in strategic direction has resulted in positive earnings from chrome quarter by quarter for very little initial investment, and the recent third party ROM ore deal has set the foundations for an extended project life not only in chrome earnings but PGM ones as well. The delay on the PGM production side means we should be able to have a larger and presumably more efficient PGM plant ( now looking at target PGM ozs of 10k to 15K p.a) increasing the returns from the PGM production.
What would have happened if we had merrily gone down the original route of producing PGMs from the off? First of all we would have had to borrow something like an additional �4m at a rate of 20% p.a, when any spare cash available was being used to build and ramp up Hernic. The only way this could have been funded, was through placings and I hate to think what the critics here would have said about more dilution.
The timing is now right for the investment in the PGM plant at DCM. The improving cash flow expected from both Hernic and DCM chrome, and the completion of the debt and interest payments on the Hernic borrowings, should enable the company to not only meet the interest payments without further dilution, but also meet a relatively short repayment period as well, before steady state production is achieved probably in the latter part of 2019. And maybe with luck we will be selling the PGMs at a much better price than what we would have been over the last couple of years as well.