RE: Small mention..21 Jan 2023 08:53
Hmmm…
Intriguingly, there were two occasions when the small-cap index benefited greatly from this — after the bear market of 1974, and again in 2009 after the financial crisis. Holding the fallen angels in those years added 10.6 and 6.2 per cent respectively to index performance. Evans asks: “Could we be on the cusp of the third occasion of massive outperformance?”
Although the academics stress they’re in the business of analysis rather than predictions, Marsh is of the view if the wider market has a good year in 2023, the fallen angels could have an even better one.
“Many of these companies have been beaten up, become more highly geared as a result and therefore higher beta,” he says. So, higher risk, but the potential for higher returns if things turn out to be better than people are currently expecting.