RE: I think I'll go and watch some paint dry..........22 May 2026 12:12
Smart punter - agreed Oman, sorry, again they will work together. The toll will be reparations for both.
So ok - the strait opening does help Qatar and change things. Been a tough week at work - brain fart last night confusing Qatar and Oman.
I also agree - pay the toll and get on with it, the world needs fertiliser and oil, gas, etc. All nations are a pawn in this mess and being used as leverage by Iran to boost Irans geopolitical standing and reduce the US influence in the region so they can’t be attacked again. It’s working. Operation freedom lasted a couple of days as the Saudis refused use of their airspace (so Iran wouldn’t hit them again).
More and more ships are passing through daily, so presumably more and more are thinking the same - just get on with it - and so are paying up (or Iran would be attacking them). The spot price being paid for oil in the east is significantly higher than the manipulated price in the west. It’s profitable to pay the toll and sell the oil. Hell ships flowing and paying the toll will lower the prices when compared to no ships flowing. To avoid sanctions payments go through the new China payments system not swift.. This is the new world order and ‘security architecture’ being put in place by China and Russia.
If America could have opened the strait they would have. They can’t (or rather aren’t prepared to lose ships, sailors and soldiers) - so they won’t do anything and the new reality is to pay up.
GCC countries paying for US bases was meant to protect GCC countries but that made them a target instead when Trump used those countries to launch attacks against Iran. Trump single handedly messed it all up.
Paying a toll and with the security architecture being worked by China and Russia may work out the better option. In that case US influence in the region will be significantly reduced. Or removed. I mean the 5th fleet has already left the region.
None of this matters to us. End of the day the Helium shortfall won’t change anytime soon as Helium cannot flow from the gulf until repairs are made and prices will continue to go up - and that won’t change any time soon - UNLESS there is a drop in demand for the product.
HEX are well positioned.