The latest Investing Matters Podcast episode featuring Jeremy Skillington, CEO of Poolbeg Pharma has just been released. Listen here.
Legalwolf, was that you?….. those buys?? Someone is confident!
Reading yesterday’s post about snatching defeat from the jaws of victory on that drill a few years ago…. Then ADV. Fair comment. They were re-entering an oil field that had been abandoned some years before. Where the oil went nobody knows.
Hopefully the oil on this side track drill hasn’t disappeared after only 4 months. Da prophets post yesterday think points out greatest the risk here.
Chart certainly looks like move is coming based on RSI divergence against the SP;
- It could be argued from mid Dec to Feb RSI was flat or maybe rising as the SP tracked down.
- From the start of March RSI has tracked up and the SP is flat; buying pressure has increased and isn’t reflected in the SP movement.
Your comment, Roger, I think is saying the same thing. One sell in reaction to the MMs dropping the SP / news of the delay (of only 2 weeks). Now multiple supposed sells and the SP not doing much to the SP (suggesting they are really buys).
There’s appetite for BCE. Just need more volume.
I agree, a mess. Regarding the naval threat of drones, the US recognise the threat and are looking at microwave tech as part of a layer of naval defence to bring down drones aimed at a frigate or carrier. Otherwise you may as well not bother with a (very expensive) navy
https://www.popularmechanics.com/military/weapons/a60453649/us-microwave-weapon-drone-killer/#
I agree completely.
See there’s news on FAB today….
BCE? I might go and take a look
Hi PP,
Used to be on this board quite a bit but haven’t been on in ages. Probably to my own financial detriment!
Regarding HEX I read your comment that someone on HEX thought it could be another ADV. I think that was me? The post was really meant to point out that drilling the hole doesn’t mean they will find Helium. That ADV with their 90% (geological cos), didn’t find anything so be wary and derisk - or invest what you can afford to lose.
That aside, it does sound very promising given the Helium readings in the soil.
Just wanted to clarify - I have no idea if it will be another ADV, none of us know what they will find and if the 2 drills will be a success.
I did buy HEX. A number of posters I respect have bought in there and Troajan I read is also interested. As Trek says I can see a chance to make money on the pre-drill marketing and hype and (for me) leave a risk free - free carry for the drill…
GLA
This has a higher cos than the He1 drills. But there’s still risk.
I bought ADV with a 90% cos - drilling an old oil field, due to advances in tech it was now attractive to go back to this field. At the end of the drill they found …. nothing. From a proven oil field.
There’s always risk that you strike out so you take your chances according to your appetite for risk and size of holding
I think you answered your own question - saying exploration is risky
Risk 1 - finding a Helium system that flows in commercial quantities
Risk 2 - if they do find commercial quantities, how much is there? How long will it last.
I think risk 1 is the immediate and greater concern than risk 2
Good post Trek (as usual).
I don’t think there will be any shortage of drill rigs for this job in the USA. And if there is a rig failure you’d think spare parts will arrive in no time. Hopefully a more experienced crew with their own rig will mean a rig failure won’t happen.
All the issues and delays faced by He1 are just not significant risks here.
Fully financed for this (‘appraisal’?) well.
The only (but significant) risk is how much helium there is.
As you say trek, there should be a good chance to derisk and profit take from here.
I see a post for arrow
‘3200 boe/d at say $80-85/b is $90-$100m and is likely to double in 2024. This SP will soon be moving.’
MCAP is 5 times that of STAR and current production is 50% only 50% higher. If production does double (to 6400) that is (roughly) 3 times more than us and MCAP (currently) 5 times higher however investors there would expect the MCAP to increase on doubling production.
Long winded way of saying (again) STAR seem highly undervalued
Frankie thank you.
Work has been too busy for me to research properly, which I need to do however I did want to know things like
- offshore or onshore (big difference cost wise)
- where do they operate (safe, it’s the uk!)
You have answered this for me.
Need to do some real research but I will buy a few today based on this limited knowledge.
Appreciate the response - thank you
I don’t hold but that just came as a shock when I read the news.
Trek, I hope you are right and this is a ploy to flush out another bid. And I hope you do well out of it.
SHG was one of the undervalued cash cows I planned on getting a bit of once other interest played out. (Others being TXP, JSE)… SHG seemed the most profitable gold miner I’d looked at.
Good luck to you too and have a great xmas