Russia, China an the Fed - Oil Price5 Mar 2023 10:25
Reading the news, the west are backing Ukraine with military action an the situation appears to be very unstable. Sanctions will be ramped up threatening Russia. With this turbulence, Russia will weaponise oil as they weaken, as they did with gas.
Also, China is opening up an they could introduce a monetary stimulus, like in the US, which will be bullish oil an increase inflation….I say the Fed raises rates again an struggles to bring down inflation. Europes inflation is going higher too.
We will see Russia an Saudi, with the only spare capacity for oil. Opec have said they are keeping production steady this year an will not get involved with upsetting Russia with the Ukraine war.
Therefore I see oil price rising an going above US$ 100 H2 2023
Of course this will be great for oil producers an the free cash flow with be transformational.