RE: Farm In or Takeover11 Mar 2019 10:12
Copy of my post of 26th Feb as to why Farm-in partner might come by the end of Q1. To that I would add that Ensco72 will now be moving off from Colter in a few days time - so direction of travel may be instructive. Too, RRE's offer may concentrate the minds of various players to get this farm-out wrapped-up quickly.
From my post of 26th Feb:
LockerRoom - re: 'If they're saying mid-2019 for Harvey then I doubt it'll be April. That's a diplomatic way of saying early H2.'
Then, yes, I'd normally agree i.e. usually O&G co's miss their timelines so, if we are lucky, it could mean farm-out last week of June, and Harvey spud last week of September.
However 2 things + a good deal of optimism, make me think they may come much earlier:
a) we did have Ensco72 booked from straight after Colter drill - which will finish end of March - and they won't want this rig sitting idle (however, of course, plans for it may have changed, and too, maybe no one has bothered to inform us);
and b) from latest RNS 'in late 2018 management initiated a focused farm-out process with a carefully selected shortlist of motivated and well-funded potential farm-in partners.' From RNS of 8th Jan: ' Funding plans for the Core Project are advancing as detailed on 29 November 2018 with the objective of Final Investment Decision (FID) within Q1 2019. First Gas is planned to be delivered within 20 months of FID.' So, at 8th jan they could have told us about the farm-out process, but didn't.. Clearly they are much more confident of the direction of travel with the farm-out now than in January (though BUTD in his old guise would have said 'more desperate'!). This leads me to believe it is almost certain to happen, and therefore soon.....