RE: Meanwhile18 Sep 2021 23:18
Thorn back. Ash has been a gift and a curse. A gift in that it’s geological setup has turbocharged the well payback, the acquifier seems to have provided additional pressure to really get super well rates but at the cost of depleting that field quicker. This is fine by me but as with all oil and gas plays you need to be constantly replacing the production ( replacement ratio) as uog have said, none of the other prospects drilled in the egyotian license area have encountered acquifier support so are flowing at lower rates, but will likely do this for a lot longer… ABu sennan is basically a collection of about 30 small oil fields, they will run dry but there is potentially around 60m boe there to go after. It’s just not going to be as quick as some had hoped.
That said the mkt cap is pretty much what they paid for the license. They have increased production, 12 months of debt left and more drills coming. Their deals on the license front look good to me assuming all payments are made.
As I have said before Jamaica for me is not going to happen but clearly there is always a chance.
This is now a bargain though purely based on Egypt. Mkt cap is way too low for what’s on the table but markets always make mistakes both ways.