RI by Sept & OPEC + agreement ending in July - thoughts?24 Jun 2020 19:24
I usually just read as I am not a professional trader like most here. I am holding PMO at 27p in my ISA, and more at average at 35p in usual trading account. If I cashed out everything I would have made £31K profit yesterday, but my aim was to make some extra money to help pay off school fees for next few years, so I would only be holding PMO until end of this year/ early next year.
Honestly in my opinion only I would be happy with 60p range and cash out, as IMPO don't see £1+ until next year at best, due to (i) the global current oil market and (ii) volatility of COVID popping up again in isolated cities around the world (until a vaccine is found).
My reasoning is that:
(i) I do not believe there will be a mass country lockdown again when outbreaks occur again, but isolated lockdowns to ensure the economy is not impacted like it has been. No politician wants to be forcing people back to full lockdown, political suicide.
(ii) the OPEC+ agreement is ending end of July and no word of that being extended. So Crude oil will begin to over produce VS fragile global demand which is trying to bounce back.
I see that most on here seem to be near term day watching on these threads?, but I am planning for the medium term outlook for PMO ( until end of this year).
I also wanted to hear some logical opinions on the RI topic for PMO due to proceed in next few months as BP deal must be completed by sept and funds will need to be raised to pay for this. RI would dilute share price but in my opinion only at least 10p, before any eventual climb. So I may cash out before the RI and see if it is worth jumping back in later once the price stabilizes to reflect the RI dilution.
I am open to hear constructive logical comments. I am not ramping or deramping but keen to understand where this share may be heading in near term by end of year from an investment POV.