What drives the share price?17 Aug 2024 12:06
Summit: "If you want the sp higher we need more investors. ...." Yes, but what drives them?
There is only one answer to that question and that is SENTIMENT. How people FEEL about what the company is aiming to do, what plans it has to achieve those aims and how well it performs in executing them while at the same time running day to day operations which enable the execution and generate cash to pay for it all. Plainly, the latter is affected by commodity prices, over which there is no control, and management of operations, which there is.
Operating in Africa, a continent with well recognised challenges means that the best laid plans can go astray and often do. Few that read the various bulletin boards truly appreciate the basic challenges, and therefore make appropriate allowance, of getting things done: acquiring skilled staff; of operating with temperamental and unreliable infrastructure; of operating in an environment in which corruption is baked into every day interactions etc. Management can attempt to anticipate the impact of these things, which is why having experienced, Africa-inured executives is vital, but they can never mitigate them entirely. When investing in Africa that is a risk that must be accepted. But forever criticising them when plans do go astray based upon a perceived, but blinkered, European idea of how things should work is short-sighted and leads inevitably to poor sentiment toward the company, and an unwillingness to invest until, precising, "they prove they have mended their ways..." and "everything is running smoothly and at maximum throughput". To keep harping on about perceived failure and "how s**t everything is" and "the board should resign" and "results won't be up to much at all" and "they promised (never) not to issue more shares" is not in the interest of ANY shareholder who wants the share price to multiply, when there is no rational reason for doing so. If you think it IS rational to do so, maybe you shouldn't be invested here, if indeed you are. Ask yourself, therefore, what those who do keep spinning negative lines, often very subtly, appearing to be understanding of the challenges but still portraying the company as incompetent are trying to achieve, knowing that potentially thousands of people will read their "learned" ramblings and possibly be influenced by them? It’s all about the optics.......to use the currently "cool" phrase.
There is ONLY one thing that drives people to buy shares and that is SENTIMENT. So, if you really want the share price to rise, be very curious about the bona fides of those who almost always (they will throw in the occasional positive comment to appear to be on side) only seem to post in ways that undermine positivity toward the business and its leaders, and instead focus on the towering operational achievements, some of which HDS fortuitously listed earlier, of the last few years.