RE: Reasonable Speculative Risk to Reward10 Oct 2025 17:55
For me yes there is risk here. Does not mean I don't follow IQE. Right now the market is forcing this lower.
You may have your own valuations. I don't think they are currently making positive ebidta as they lost a few million on that basis.
If the share was honestly worth 10-22p why is it stuck around 6.5- 6.7p? It's turnover is only just above it's market cap and it's likely to lose 20-40m this year. Albeit some of this will be write down in assets
They have debts to repay too. Lombards included.
You look at RKH. That soared from 5p to 89p. So the market can change it's mind. However that may be based on future revenue. Where IQE is forecasting losses for 3 years. If they had to they could do much bigger cutbacks here. I don't think they will now it's up for sale.
I hope you prove me wrong. It could be they sell just Taiwan and manage to turn this around. My guess is a further cash call would follow in 1-2 years. You would think they expect 50m+ from Taiwan if it pays off debts. More? This could drag in for months.