McFirth10 Oct 2018 21:18
I'm stating observations and forming inferences. As alluded to, Jamie has sold out entirely, however, there is still a seller at play - someone with a substantial holding. As well as Hadron Capital, it could be placing participants or debt holders. It is rather disconcerting that large holders are divesting at this crucial stage. Further, this share is still a bundle of risk until rehabilitation has been completed, and upon successful rehabilitation, I see a £40mill Mcap company @ $2.80/lb in Q1 2019. My valuation is predicated on the multiples approach. In addition, considering the poor production level in September - which was at 20% of nameplate capacity - I suspect CRA now has a precariously low cash position. Also, I do not appreciate the 'spin' put forward by CRA with respect to alleged superior production in Q3 relative to Q2, considering CRA was only operational for two months in Q2. I always attempt to maintain a logical stance with every post and I would prefer not to label my posts as bullish or bearish.