Olderwiser opinion11 Apr 2023 11:13
On HotCopper may show why SP has limited enthusiasm
" I have always found with 88e announcements, it pays to also focus on what 88e focus on, then discount the targets that are less featured
In this case it is strongly on the SFS targets, showing a clear intention to flow test these two zones is a positive, this good news needs to be balanced against the size of this initial target at a mean estimate of 89 mmbo. Further upside may come from the as yet unknown new SFS zone.
The lack of specific detail on net pay for each reservoir, is unsettling as these details are available, and very meaningful to estimating likely quantity of the discoveries.
With the SMDs scarcely getting a mention, I am inclined to now discount these pending further detail from 88e.
The BFF was always going to be marginal IMO, so an increase in porosity could bring some of this into play
Overall there is good and bad, I now expect a much lower number than the original estimated 647 mmbo, probably closer to 250 mmbo. There is still insufficient information to say more, but expect a progression of updates to fill in the gaps as analysis continues"